The RBC Heritage Preview
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Our articles will follow a simple, yet effective structure that will give you everything you need to be successful in the Daily Fantasy and Betting Space for the upcoming tournament
Course Description
Weather
Custom Model
Ownership
DFS Picks
Betting Picks
RBC Heritage
Harbour Town Golf Links
Course Description
The RBC Heritage is a prestigious PGA Tour event held annually at Harbour Town Golf Links on Hilton Head Island, South Carolina. Established in 1969, the tournament is renowned for its challenging course design and scenic coastal setting.
🏌️ Course Overview: Harbour Town Golf Links
Par: 71
Yardage: 7,213 yards
Architects: Pete Dye and Jack Nicklaus
Greens: Small, undulating Bermuda greens with Poa Trivialis overseed
Signature Feature: The iconic red-and-white striped lighthouse overlooking the 18th green
Harbour Town is celebrated for its tight, tree-lined fairways and some of the smallest greens on the PGA Tour, averaging just 3,700 square feet. The course demands precision and strategic shot-making, often requiring players to forgo drivers in favor of accuracy. Coastal winds and hazards like marshes and bunkers add to the complexity, making it a true test of skill.
🏆 Recent Champions
2024: Scottie Scheffler
2023: Matthew Fitzpatrick (-17)
2022: Jordan Spieth (-13)
2021: Stewart Cink (-19)
2020: Webb Simpson (-22, tournament record)
2019: C.T. Pan (-12)
Notably, Davis Love III holds the record for the most victories at the RBC Heritage, with five wins.
📅 Tournament Facts
First Played: 1969
Organizer: Heritage Classic Foundation
Title Sponsor: Royal Bank of Canada (since 2012)
Format: 72-hole stroke play
Field Size: 132 players
Purse: $20 million
Winner’s Share: $3,600,000
The RBC Heritage is one of only five tournaments on the PGA Tour with invitational status, contributing to its esteemed reputation.
Weather
Early weather shows it will be a gorgeous Thursday and Friday with virtually the same conditions for both days. Not only that, minimal winds and optimal temperatures should cater to scoring. Saturday will certainly live up to the moving day name as winds will pick up. Everything just seems very consistent from the early wave golfers to the late wave, so still no advantages for Showdown yet. Sunday is the same song and dance as well. This might be the most consistently clear weather report we have seen for an RBC Heritage tournament since 2021 or 2020 where Webb and Stewart Cink pulled out improbable wins. If you are looking for a weather wave advantage, early models say there won’t be one this week.
Custom Model
Approach will make up the bulk of our model this week with that category ranking 7th among 52 qualifying golf courses this season. It is also one of the spots where driving distance barely matters. A lot of woods off of the tee allows a lot of different types of golfers to be in contention. It also has some of the smallest greens on tour, so putting will be a little more of a factor than usual. Some guys tend to do fairly well here year over year, so we will put a little bit on Course History and the rest will be Scrambling, Par 3 Scoring and Par 4 Scoring since this is a Par 72 with one extra Par 4. The reason for Par 3 scoring is because all 4 Par 3s play over par and it is heavily correlated to success at this course.
Ownership and Picks
High Ownership Options (By Price Range):
$10,000+
a) Scottie Scheffler ($13,100): ~35%
b) Patrick Cantlay ($10,000): ~25%
c) Collin Morikawa ($10,900): ~25%
$9,000
a) Jordan Spieth ($9,200): ~25%
b) Russell Henley ($9,700): ~18%
c) Viktor Hovland ($9,000): ~17%
$8,000
a) Sepp Straka ($8,800): ~15%
b) Daniel Berger ($8,300): ~13%
c) Justin Rose ($8,000): ~12%
$7,000
a) Aaron Rai ($7,900): ~15%
b) Sahith Theegala ($7,300): ~12%
c) JT Poston ($7,800): ~11%
$6,000
a) Lucas Glover ($6,900): ~10%
b) Billy Horschel ($6,800): ~7%
c) Matt Kuchar ($6,000): ~6%
Favorite Plays:
Scottie Scheffler ($13,100): Putting ownership aside, he is a class above the rest of this field right now and only play his typical “B average” game. His irons haven’t even been all that great since returning from the hand injury and he is still 3rd in the field in SG:APP over his last 30 rounds. The putter is coming around and he checks every other box you want for Harbour Town. I think there is a very strong chance he goes back to back here. That being said, Collin is a very close 2nd for me. He just fits this golf course incredibly well.
Tommy Fleetwood ($9,400): The ownership to me seems quite low given how consistent he is in elevated events, finishing top 25 in all of them this season. His game also fits this course very well with how important approach is. I think it will all come down to putting for him this week because his driving accuracy is also top 10 for this field as well. I wish his win equity was a bit higher, but the ownership from the $9,000 range is condensed to just a few guys, making Tommy the perfect pivot. I would say Lowry, but I would imagine he is curing a hangover from partying with his best friend Rory following the Masters’ victory.
Daniel Berger ($8,300): I was expecting his ownership projection to be closer to 20% but with it being in the low teens, I will certainly get to some Berger. He is 7th in my model overall and one of just two golfers from the $8,000 range in the top 10 while no one else really looks appealing from a data perspective. He is 1st in the field in Good Drive % and top 25 in approach play. That to me says he is going to be playing from the fairway and able to hit solid approach shots which will give him good looks for birdie. The recent form is very solid and it just feels like he is on the brink of breaking out.
Si Woo Kim ($7,600): He might not be in the best form, but outside of the last two starts (which we both MCs), he was playing very solid golf with top 25s in 4 of the last 5 events. He is an accurate driver of the golf ball and hits the ball very well with his long irons. He was T18 here last year and had a solo 2nd back in 2018 so Harbour Town clearly has some appeal for him. If he can just be a zero putter for the week, he has a legit chance at contending not just outplaying the guys in his price range.
Lucas Glover ($6,900): Playing a chalky guy in the $6,000 range is always terrifying to me because it rarely pays off, but he models so well I can’t overlook him. He is 1st in the field in Driving Accuracy which says a lot for the strength this field possesses. He is top 5 in both the approach ranges we are looking at and has some pretty solid results outside of the MC at the Masters which we can forgive him for. What more is there to ask for from a guy at this price tag? I do wan’t to throw a less chalky name out there which is Austin Eckroat ($6,200). He also is an accurate driver of the golf ball who is very solid from 150-200 yards on approach. He was 17th here last year which considering he lost nearly 2.5 strokes on approach and gained across the bag elsewhere, he can actually improve on that result. His recent form is a bit suspect which gives me a bit of concern.
Best Bets
All bets are based on odds from Draftkings Sportsbook
R1 Matchup: Matt Kuchar vs. Sam Stevens - Matt Kuchar (-105): Kuchar might be the flat minimum in DFS, but he matches up very well for his opening two rounds against Stevens. Kuchar is actually 22nd overall in my model much due to his strong Harbour Town history and great Driving Accuracy. On the other hand, Stevens is 64th out of 72 golfers… You are getting him at almost even money so sign me up given how big of a discrepancy that is.
R1 Matchup: Rickie Fowler vs. Karl Vilips - Rickie Fowler (-150): I might as well follow that up by looking at who is dead last in my model for this week. That would be Karl Vilips. I know this is a steep number and Rickie doesn’t even model well either, but at the very least is fairly good at approach shots from 150-200 yards compared to the field and is a decent Bermuda putter. I will go ahead and guess that Rickie can outduel him in Round 1.
R1 Score: Sungjae Im UNDER 69.5 strokes (-115): Coming off of a T5 at the Masters, gaining across the bag and not having finished outside the top 25 here at Harbour Town in each of the last 4 years really has me liking Sungjae this week. He needs to be -2 on Thursday to hit this number and has done that in 3 of those 4 finishes for Thursday. Honestly, the Thursday R1 Unders look very solid given the conditions will likely play fairly easy.
